Austin’s Gerrymandered House Districts Are Not As Safe as the GOP Thinks

On March 13, 2018 Democrat Conor Lamb won the special election for Pennsylvania’s 18th Congressional District—which Trump carried by almost 20 points. Running for an open seat is generally easier than running against an incumbent, but it’s worth noting that Trump won by a smaller margin in every one of Austin’s “safe” GOP House districts.

Let’s break it down.

PA-18 was more Republican than any of Austin's GOP districts

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PA-18 was more Republican than any of Austin's GOP districts

PA-18 was more Republican than any of Austin's GOP districts

PA-18 was more Republican than any of Austin's GOP districts

PA-18 was more Republican than any of Austin's GOP districts

PA-18 was more Republican than any of Austin's GOP districts

Of course, none of this matters if people don’t get out and vote, beginning with the runoff elections in May and then the midterms in November.

Primary Election Runoff

Be a Texas Voter(NOTE: When you vote in the runoff you must vote in the same party election as you did in the primary. You cannot switch to vote in the other party’s election.)

Last day to register to vote: April 23

Early voting: May 14 – May 18

Election day: May 22

Midterm Elections

Last Day to Register to Vote: Tuesday, October 9, 2018

First Day of Early Voting: Monday, October 22, 2018

Last Day of Early Voting: Friday, November 2, 2018

Election Day: Tuesday, November 6, 2018

Data Sources:

Daily Kos (Google Sheet)

Tracking Congress In The Age Of Trump (FiveThirtyEight)

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